REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
DuPont De Nemours Inc. | North America 2Q26 Preview
Research evidence excerpt
DuPont De Nemours Inc. | North America 2Q26 Preview
d with implied volatility data from the options market as of 16
Jun 2026. All figures are approximate risk-neutral probabilities of the stock reaching beyond the scenario price in either
three-months’ or one-years’ time. View explanation of Options Probabilities methodology here
BULL CASE $65.00 BASE CASE $52.00 BEAR CASE $30.00
~16x '26 EBITDA: Xs towards high peers Sum of the parts: ~14x 2026 EBITDA; SOTP: ~10x Bear Case 2026 EBITDA; $1B
$300M PFAS PFASHigher multiples on macro recovery, strong
execution, capital allocation and PFAS risk Our base case assumes DuPont's businesses Broader macro challenges materialize,
ring fencing. DuPont demonstrates quick are on track for its medium-term financial putting medium-term targets out of reach.
progress toward margin targets and sees targets in 2026. Health care & Water PFAS flares up. Recession drives stagnation
above-target (~4%+) 2026 growth. Technologies sees ~MSD% growth while in Building & Construction and Industrial end
Construction recovers. Announces additional Diversified Industrials sees ~LSD% growth markets. Additional cost inflation related to
ASRs ($250M underway) or expands related to continuing construction Iran conflict which is not neutralized by
through M&A. PFAS settled (State AGs and weakness. EBITDA margin expansion price/surcharges. Health Care holds up
Personal Injury cases incrementally) with supported by reduction of stranded costs better, but is far from immune. PFAS flares
remaining liability no more than $300M (i.e., and productivity initiatives. up as personal injury cases are not settled
the remainder of the $1.36B construct but instead appear headed for trial.
between DuPont, Qnity, Chemours and
Corteva).
Morgan Stanley Research 5
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