GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
GEMs Best Stock Ideas May 2026 [Correction]
Research evidence excerpt
12 May 2026
GEMs Best Stock Ideas
Equity Strategy
Emerging Markets
May 2026 [Correction]
◆ We highlight 22 stock ideas across emerging markets
◆ These are our analysts’ best ideas based on their bottom-up
analysis…
◆ …and are also consistent with our top-down strategy
EM equities are back to all-time highs, but the breadth has collapsed with the share
of stocks beating the benchmark over the past year falling to a record low of 26%.
We expect this concentration in performance to persist. With geopolitical risks
elevated and the central bank outlook uncertain, valuation expansion looks unlikely in
the near term. Instead, returns should be driven by earnings momentum, and those
revisions are themselves narrow and have largely been confined to Korea, Taiwan,
and LatAm, and Tech, Energy, and Materials.
We also expect to see prolonged rotations within EM equities, given the risk that
disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz may be more persistent. Our Middle East
exposure scorecard flags Asia – particularly ASEAN and India - as one of the more
vulnerable regions given its reliance on imported energy, sensitivity to tighter financial
conditions, and more crowded positioning. LatAm stands out as a relative winner,
offering both a commodity hedge and stronger idiosyncratic stories. For more details
on our GEMs Equity Strategy views please see A concentrated but sustainable rally,
5 May 2026 and our GEMs Equity Strategy Quarterly, 2 April 2026.
Alastair Pinder, CFA
Head EM and Global Equity Strategist
HSBC Securities (USA) Inc.
Pankaj Agarwala*, CFA
EM and Global Equity Strategist
HSBC Securities and Capital Markets (India) Private
Limited
Herald van der Linde*, CFA
Head of Equity Strategy, Asia Pacific
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
Raj Sinha*
Co-Head of Global Equity Research
HSBC Bank Middle East Ltd, UAE branch
Nicole Inui*, CFA
Head of Equity Strategy, Americas
Banco HSBC S.A.
* Employed by a non-US affiliate of HSBC Securities (USA) Inc, and is
not registered/ qualified pursuant to FINRA regulations
In this report we present 22 stocks to own across EM that align with our strategy view and
where our analysts have high conviction.…
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