GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Arista Networks: Clearing the Bar (and then Some) as More Supply Becomes Available
Research evidence excerpt
M
Idea
August 5, 2026 04:01 AM GMT
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
Arista Networks | North America
Meta A Marshall
Equity Analyst
Clearing the Bar (and then
Some) as More Supply
Becomes Available
Antonio Jaramillo
Research Associate
Arista Networks (ANET.N, ANET UN)
Telecom & Networking Equipment | United States of
America
What’s Changed
Arista Networks (ANET.N)
From
To
Price Target
$190.00
$220.00
Stock Rating
Industry View
Price target
Shr price, close (Aug 4, 2026)
Mkt cap, curr (mm)
52-Week Range
Fiscal Year Ending
AlphaSignals Earnings Reaction
Strengthens our thesis
Modest upside
Modest revision higher
Impact to our thesis
Financial results versus consensus
Direction of next 12-month
consensus EPS
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research
ANET beat bogeys into Q2, now expecting ~40% Y/Y growth,
from 28% Y/Y post Q1. This validates our view that demand
remains very healthy, particularly as Scale Across opportunities
become more sizeable, it was just a matter of supply (which has
loosened). See reset floor for stock in NT, remain OW.
Key Takeaways
Overweight
In-Line
$220.00
$190.51
$240,734
$194.31-114.52
12/25 12/26e 12/27e 12/28e
ModelWare EPS ($)
EPS ($)**
Prior EPS ($)**
P/E
Div yld (%)
2.60
2.94
50.4
0.0
3.59
4.05
3.56
53.1
0.0
4.15
4.78
4.06
45.9
0.0
4.71
5.44
4.71
40.4
0.0
Unless otherwise noted, all metrics are based on Morgan Stanley ModelWare
framework
** = Based on consensus methodology
e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates
Quarterly EPS ($)
Quarter
2025
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0.65
0.73
0.75
0.82
2026e 2026e
Prior Current
0.87
0.92
0.87a
1.02a
1.07
1.09
2027e 2027e
Prior Current
0.96
1.01
1.08
1.07
1.17
1.23
1.31
e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates, a = Actual Company reported data
ANET quarter was meaningfully better than expectations, with growth
accelerating in Q2 and set to again accelerate in Q3/Q4.
Supply commentary, which dampened enthusiasm post Q1, was meaningfully
improved, helping company confidence in raised guide.
Continuing to see strong traction in scale across, scale out and enterprise use
cases.
Decel in billings growth is only nit on the quarter, but with company not
releasing an orders number, billings is not a great proxy.
…
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