GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
J.P. Morgan Australia FTM 6 Aug 26 Light & Wonder Inc (AU); Endeavour Group; Margin Drivers Monthly (Jul-26); Evolution Mining Ltd.; Ramelius Resources and More
Research evidence excerpt
Asia Pacific Equity Research
Australia First to Market
06 August 2026
Top Stories
Light & Wonder Inc (AU) (Don Carducci) (LNW AU, OW)
**Sigh** play
Although headline expectations were met, the following should be considered: 1) When normalised for the full- quarter Grover
contribution, underlying revenue was down -0.6% and the acceleration in Gaming Ops FPD was driven largely by a favorable
unit mix shift. 2) With Grover now fully annualised in the base, execution risk will build into 2H given the strong 4Q skew and
outright sales required to achieve guidance. 3) FCF outcomes and lower buybacks through the balance of FY26 will drive degearing towards 3.0x. At these levels, we think current multiples imply that risk/reward is skewed to the upside. Retain
Overweight, $138 PT.
Endeavour Group (Bryan Raymond) (EDV AU, UW)
FY26 Trading Update – Margins under pressure
Endeavour’s FY26 trading update was broadly in-line with JPMe and consensus, with little operating commentary or outlook
comment. The focus was on the $327m of pre-tax significant items in 2H26 ($53m of which are cash vs. $274m non-cash). This
is unlikely to be the last of the cash costs, with two more years of cost-out that will require further one-off costs to execute on in
FY27e/FY28e. We view the non-cash impairments as new CEO Jayne Hrdlicka clearing the decks ahead of the first full-year
result, likely employing conservative testing of intangibles. Our Underweight rating and $3.00 price target are unchanged
following small EPS downgrades (-1.2% in FY26, -0.4% in FY27e and -1.9% in FY28e). We expect EPS to decline by a further 3.4% YoY in FY27e. Endeavour is trading on 15.3x FY27 PER at our $3.00 PT and on our earnings forecasts vs. 16.9x FY27
PER at the current share price and on consensus earnings forecasts.
Margin Drivers Monthly (Jul-26) (Andrew Triggs)
Mortgage competition pick-up broadens; funding cost drivers mostly negative
In July, funding cost drivers were mixed and mortgage spreads showed signs of pressure. With the RBA cash rate stable, the
majors and second-tier banks made no pricing moves in online saver or behavioural savings products. Major bank term deposit
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