GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Hanwha Solutions Corp Potential tailwinds from Section 232 ruling to introduce price floor/tariff on US solar imports? Limited impact from PVC price fixing allegations
Research evidence excerpt
J P M O R G A N
Asia Pacific Equity Research
06 August 2026
Hanwha Solutions Corp
Potential tailwinds from Section 232 ruling to introduce
price floor/tariff on US solar imports? Limited impact
from PVC price fixing allegations
Overweight
009830.KS, 009830 KS
Price (05 Aug 26):W30,850
Price Target (Jun-27):W48,500
US-leveraged solar names rallied by 8% yesterday (Wacker Chemie +6%, First
Solar +5%, T1 Energy +10% vs. S&P +1.8%) likely over Reuters’ report (link) of
a potential pricing floor + tariff measures against US solar product imports. The
hybrid trade probe system is reportedly arriving some time this month, in
conclusion to the year-long Section 232 investigation introduced in July 2025. If
realized, we expect a broad-based gain in US module ASPs as upstream material
prices rise, though the degree remains uncertain as to the level of pricing floor.
According to the article, the plan will include a preferential provision for upstream
importers investing in domestic module/cell capacity, offsetting the incremental
cost burden incurred under the new trade probe. Amongst K-Solar names, HSC/
OCI have built domestic US module/cell manufacturing capacity, and will likely
be eligible to enjoy the higher domestic ASP and cost provision if realized.
However, we see actual translation to profitability improvement to swing on the
details and degree of tariff exemption and see a neutral impact for now. Meanwhile,
we view ex.China polysilicon producers as clear beneficiaries to ride the
polysilicon pricing upside under a potential pricing floor introduction.
Head of Asia Energy & Chemicals |
Asia EV Battery
What’s new: On 5 Aug, Reuters reported that the White House is preparing to
launch a hybrid system of “minimum import price plus tariffs” on imported
polysilicon and its derivative products. The plan reportedly includes
preferential provisions allowing importers investing in U.S. silicon wafer and
cell production capacity to offset extra costs incurred under the trade probe.
Note that the results of the year-long Section 232 investigation remain pending,
while a final decision will reportedly arrive in August.
Quarterly Forecasts (FYE Dec)
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