GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Rockpoint Gas Storage Inc. F1Q27 EBITDA In-Line; Accelerated FY28 Contracting Demonstrates Robust Fundamentals
Research evidence excerpt
J P M O R G A N
North America Equity Research
05 August 2026
Rockpoint Gas Storage Inc.
F1Q27 EBITDA In-Line; Accelerated FY28 Contracting
Demonstrates Robust Fundamentals
Overweight
RGSI.TO, RGSI CN
Price (04 Aug 26):C$25.95
Utilities and Midstream
RGSI reported $75mm F1Q27 adj EBITDA, above the $72mm JPMe and in-line
with the $74mm Street Median. STS margin (+$5mm vs JPMe) and Optimization
margin (-$1mm vs JPMe) largely drove the delta, while ToP margin matched.
Subsequent to quarter-end, RGSI highlighted a strong start to the FY28 contracting
season via a 10 Bcf long-term contract with a new high-quality counterparty
(service commencing Apr 1, 2027). We view the contract as a meaningful positive,
driven by the accelerated timing (with discussions typically in the fall) and the
contract size (lifts currently contracted FY28 Alberta capacity by ~30% YoY).
Separately, during the quarter, RGSI repurchased~169k shares for ~C$4.8mm at
a ~C$28.60 weighted-average price. On the call, we look for details around
additional FY28 contracting engagements, optimization timing through the
balance of FY27, and organic growth opportunities.
Constructive fundamentals in tact; growth projects on track. RGSI’s
initial FY28 contracting update demonstrates customer eagerness to lock in
capacity for longer tenor, as demand continues to grow. RGSI remains well
positioned to benefit from higher LNG demand, increasing data center demand
(37 projects in Alberta provincial queue), and growing production. On growth,
RGSI continues to advance the 11MW Warwick battery storage project on
budget, with ~30% detailed engineering complete (FY2Q28 ISD). The
company has also received all regulatory approvals to advance the Warwick
Gas Storage Expansion, expecting ~3.5 Bcf of incremental working gas
capacity in FY3Q27, with performance informing FY28 activities toward ~5
Bcf total incremental capacity.
Dividend run-rate flat at $0.924/sh. RGSI declared a US$0.2310/sh
quarterly dividend for F1Q27, flat QoQ.
Conference call details. RGSI will host a webcast to discuss F1Q27 results on
Wednesday, August 5th at 9:30 AM ET.
Vrathan Reddy AC
(1-212) 622-4692
Jeremy Tonet, CFA
(1-212) 622-4915
…
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