GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
India Equity Strategy Factor Investing – Aug’26: Stay Long Momentum as QMI recovers
Research evidence excerpt
J P M O R G A N
Global Markets Strategy
05 August 2026
India Equity Strategy
Factor Investing – Aug’26: Stay Long Momentum as
QMI recovers
In July, Quality was the standout outperformer in the Nifty 500, on both long/short and
long-only bases. Momentum, by contrast, was the worst-performing factor, in line
with the global MOMO selloff. This led to our All-Weather composite giving back
some ground even as it continues to perform well across timeframes and cycle
regimes. India Composite Momentum corrected ~3.8% peak-to-trough (Jun 22-Jul
8), but recovered by month-end. Momentum in India looks reassuring on both its own
trend and valuation. On trend, Composite Momentum still sits well above its 12month average, so the usual pre-selloff warning is absent. On valuation, the Long vs
Short spread is at its historical average levels, with none of the crowding that drove
the global move. We therefore stay constructive on Momentum, especially where
price strength is backed by earnings revisions. We pair this with Quality
discipline, while avoiding Value. On cycle, the QMI has continued to recover
following March’s downturn, typical of mid-cycle dynamics. Improvement is broad
across components, alongside recent macro resilience. Consistent with mid-cycle
patterns, small- and mid-caps continue to outperform large caps (YTD: small caps
+9.9%, mid caps +4.6% vs Nifty 50 -5.8%).
Factor Performance. In July, Quality was the standout outperformer, both on
a L/S as well as a L/O basis, in the Nifty 500 universe. Conversely, Momentum
in India was the worst performing factor, in line with the historic global
unwinding of the momentum factor (MOMO selloff). Our 'All-Weather'
composite gave back some ground in July, though it continues to do well across
timeframes and cycle regimes. See Figure 1 and Figure 2 for the performance
summary.
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Equity Macro Research
Rajiv Batra AC
(65) 6882-8151
J.P. Morgan Securities Singapore Private Limited
Rushit Mehta AC
(9122) 6157-3711
J.P. Morgan India Private Limited, J.P. Morgan
Tower, Santacruz(E), Mumbai - 400098, SEBI
Registration: INH000001873, (91-22) 6157-3000.
Mixo Das AC
(852) 2800-0511
J.P.…
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