GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Hon Hai Precision Healthy July revenue growth; 2026 AI revenue upside from Vera Rubin ramp and incremental TPU tray opportunity
Research evidence excerpt
J P M O R G A N
Asia Pacific Equity Research
05 August 2026
Hon Hai Precision
Healthy July revenue growth; 2026 AI revenue upside
from Vera Rubin ramp and incremental TPU tray
opportunity
Overweight
2317.TW, 2317 TT
Price (05 Aug 26):NT$258.50
Price Target (Jun-27):NT$310.00
July sales driven by ongoing AI and iPhone momentum, as well as PC pullin demand: Hon Hai reported July sales of NT$946.5bn, up 15% MoM and
54% YoY. We believe the healthy MoM growth was driven mainly by strong
growth in the Cloud and Networking segment, supported by robust AI server
demand and improving component supply for AI racks vs. the prior month. The
Computing Products and Smart Consumer Electronics segments also posted
strong and significant MoM growth, driven by PC pull-in demand for summer
promotions and continued iPhone 17 momentum.
3Q26 sales remain solid; 3Q guidance unchanged: Hon Hai's July revenue
reached 37%/35% of JPMe/BBGe for 3Q26. The company reiterated its 3Q
guidance of revenue growth on both a QoQ and YoY basis, with AI servers
remaining the key growth driver and iPhone momentum continuing. Overall,
we expect 3Q26 revenue to grow 8% QoQ and 23% YoY, driven by 10%+ QoQ
growth in AI server revenue (implying 7.5K+ GB rack shipments in 3Q26),
partially offset by lackluster PC demand amid the absence of the 1H26 pull-in
demand that was driven by concerns over further memory price hikes.
Strong AI server growth in 2026, with upside from Vera Rubin ramp and
new product win from ASIC customer: We expect Hon Hai’s AI server
revenue to grow 110%+ in 2026 (implying ~165% YoY growth in AI GPU
racks), with some pricing upside for GB300, given rising memory and other
component costs. We believe the key upside to Hon Hai’s 2026 AI server
revenue will come from an earlier-than-expected Vera Rubin ramp, supported
by Hon Hai’s higher market share in the VR generation on the back of a new
customer win (Google, in our view) and 60%+ higher ASPs vs. the current
GB300 generation. Despite some VR200 PCB issues seen in July, we do not
expect further delays; VR200 remains on track to enter mass production in late
3Q26 to 4Q26, with industry ~10K-15K VR rack shipments this year. On the
…
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