GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Intea Fastigheter-Backed by structural tailwinds-07/12/2026
Research evidence excerpt
Intea Fastigheter-Backed by structural tailwinds-07/12/2026
res (SEKm) 2,477
to proceed with the planned new police facility in Linköping, the remaining pipeline
is expected to add ~51% to current rental value by 2030, supporting strong Net debt (SEKm) 14,562
earnings visibility. With net LTV at 47.6%, below the 50–55% target range, Minority interests (SEKm) 332
management sees no need for new equity to fund the current pipeline. This is Enterprise value 26e (SEKm) 33,439
further supported by a yield gap of slightly below 3pp, among the widest in the Total Return Index
sector. We forecast 28/6% IFPM growth and 12/11% EPRA NRV growth in
2026/2027E, with further upside potential from unannounced acquisitions and 105
project starts.
Valuation still attractive, Buy reiterated 95
Intea continues to combine strong growth with low vacancy, supported by 90
structural demand for social infrastructure. With 97% of contracted annual rent
derived from public-sector tenants and a public-sector WAULT of 7.8 years, the 85
portfolio provides stable and predictable cash flows. The shares trade at 80
16.0/15.2x IFPM and 1.26/1.15x EPRA NRV in 2026/2027E, below reported LTM
averages of 19.0x and 1.33x, despite rapid earnings growth and high visibility from 75
Jul-25 Sep-25 Nov-25 Feb-26 Apr-26 Jun-26the project pipeline. We view the valuation gap as unwarranted and expect it to
Intea Fastigheter EPRA.EUR-FTX
narrow as the pipeline converts into cash flow. We make minor negative estimate
revisions to rental income and NOI, partly offset by lower market rate curves lifting Source: FactSet
CEPS and IFPM. We reiterate Buy and slightly adjust TP to SEK 87 (88).
SEKm 2024 2025 2026e 2027e 2028e
Sales 1,201 1,561 1,892 2,092 2,294
NOI 991 1,308 1,588 1,761 1,935
NOI margin (%) 83 84 84 84 84
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