GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Mine Your Own Business - Oil Sands Mining Monthly Performance Tracker
Research evidence excerpt
Mine Your Own Business - Oil Sands Mining Monthly Performance Tracker
TD SECURITIES INC. - CANADA SECTOR NOTE
June 30, 2026
■Energy Producers - Seniors & Integrateds Mine Your Own Business - Oil Sands Mining
Monthly Performance Tracker
Menno Hulshof, CFA^ THE TD COWEN INSIGHT
403 299 8658
The following charts summarize the key performance characteristics of producing oil sands
menno.hulshof@tdsecurities.com
mining projects. Since the release of regulatory data is not timely (subject to a three-month
Taylor Kent^ delay), the objective of this monthly report is to provide a long-term perspective on how these
403 299 3272 projects compare with one another on the basis of key, public operating parameters.
taylor.kent@tdsecurities.com
Jeremy De Souza, CPA^ The latest available data is for March. We highlight the key short-term and long-term trends
403 292 1212 below, and highlight our Fort McMurray spring melt note for potential production impacts to
jeremy.desouza@tdsecurities.com 2Q26 mining results.
1. Total mined bitumen volumes increased ~2% m/m to ~1.7 mmbbl/d in March. SCO currently
trades at a ~US$16/bbl premium to WTI, while WCS diffs are currently ~US$14/bbl. Mined
bitumen accounted for ~49% of total oil sands production (~3.4 mmbbl/d) and ~34% of total
Canadian oil production (including East Coast offshore). Including in situ bitumen, oil sands
production accounted for ~70% of total Canadian oil production.
2. Syncrude utilization increased to 79% in March (+8% m/m) as production recovered to 275
mbbl/d following coker-related downtime in Feb. Importantly, Suncor elected to defer planned
2Q26 turnaround activity (~35 mbbl/d quarterly impact) into 3Q26, supporting stronger
near-term production. While NGTL outages created some operational headwinds in March,
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