GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
CMC: Q3’26 results largely in-line; Q4’26 guide points to a strong finish
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CMC: Q3’26 results largely in-line; Q4’26 guide points to a strong finish
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CMC
Q3’26 results largely in-line; Q4’26 guide
points to a strong finish
Reiterate Rating: BUY | PO: 84.00 USD | Price: 71.28 USD
Deleveraging near target = improved returns. Re-it Buy 25 June 2026
Commercial Metals (CMC) fiscal year (FY) Q3’26 adjusted (core) EBITDA was in-line Equity
Bloomberg consensus and just shy of BofAe/VA consensus. Versus BofAe both North
America Steel Group (NASG) and EU segment results were better on higher volumes and SathishResearchKasinathanAnalyst
margins. Construction Solutions Group (CSG) EBITDA was below BofAe mainly due to BofAS
+1 646 855 2769
unfavorable weather conditions. CMC expects a strong finish to the year, supported by sathish.kasinathan@bofa.com
favorable market conditions and robust backlogs. FYQ4’26 should see a $40 million (m) Lawson Winder, CFA >>
or more sequential improvement in core EBITDA. The guide appears to be better than Research Analyst
Merrill Lynch (Canada)
Bloomberg consensus, in-line to VA consensus and slightly below BofAe. Deleveraging +1 416 369 7592
continues to run ahead of plan, with adjusted net debt to EBITDA at 2.1x (as of Q3-end), lawson.winder@bofa.com
close to its <2.0x target. We see potential for improved shareholder returns (via Adam Smiarowski, CFA >> Research Analyst
buybacks) in the near term. Additionally, the upcoming Investor Day on 5-Aug-26 is a Merrill Lynch (Canada)
potential catalyst, in our view. Reiterate Buy rating. +1adam.smiarowski@bofa.com416 369 7780
Q3 results: NA/EU segments beat, CSG modestly below
CMC reported Q3’26 adjusted (core) EBITDA of $354 million (m), in-line to Bloomberg
Stock Dataconsensus ($353m) and a touch below BofAe ($358m) and VA consensus ($361m). NASG
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