GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Redevelopment story unchanged, but timeline for realization pushed back
Research evidence excerpt
Redevelopment story unchanged, but timeline for realization pushed back
22 June 2026
Mizuho Securities Equity Research Transportation
Price Objective Change
Seibu Holdings (9024)
Rating: Neutral Price Objective ¥4,500 ¥3,000
Spotlight: See Figure 1 for the company’s ACT: Rise in corporate value on major development project completion
pipeline of major development projects still some way off
We lower our price objective for Seibu Holdings after revising our outlook
Share price (19 Jun) ¥2,986.5 on the timing for real estate securitization to reflect the pushed-backImplied upside +0%
timeframe for the completion of major redevelopment projects. We believeTSE Segment Prime
progress with major redevelopment projects in the Takanawa, Shibakoen,
Major indicators (E = Mizuho estimates) and Shinjuku areas will fuel improvement in corporate value over theMarket capitalization (¥b) 913.20
Shares outstanding (m) 305.78 medium to long term. However, the timing for the construction completion
Potential share dilution (m) – and opening of the Takanawa B-1 District project (the first major project)Daily turnover (thou, mo. avg.) 2,449.01
Foreign ownership (%, 9/25) 25.3 has been pushed back to FY35 due to soaring construction costs and
DPS(¥, 3/27E) 46.0 construction system constraints. We reiterate our Neutral rating on theDividend Yield(%, 3/27E) 1.5
Payout ratio(%, 3/27E) 40.3 stock, as we believe it will take some time for development plans for the
Equity ratio(%, 3/27E) 31.6 Shibakoen and Shinjuku areas to be fleshed out, and we therefore think itBPS(¥, 3/27E) 2,308.7
PBR(x, 3/27E) 1.3 will take considerable time for Seibu Holdings’ corporate value to improve.
ROE(%, 3/27E NP basis) 5.0
ROA(%, 3/27E RP basis) 2.8 KNOW: Uncertainty surrounding progress in redevelopment
Note: No.
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