GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Bank of America: 2Q26 EPS PREVIEW: Sequential NII growth with y-o-y fee growth
Research evidence excerpt
Bank of America: 2Q26 EPS PREVIEW: Sequential NII growth with y-o-y fee growth
on, and
scaling client interactions. Core transaction accounts, payments share gains (including digital/
peer-to-peer), deepening client relationships, stablecoins, and payment innovation are all key
to future growth. It believes it has levers that preserve its flexibility to help navigate changing
market conditions as required. Headcount has declined by 1,070 from 4Q25.
Asset quality: BAC noted a resilient operating backdrop, solid consumer spending (running up
5% y-o-y), low unemployment and stable credit alongside steady but cautious commercial
activity despite policy and geopolitical uncertainty. It has also not experienced any material
losses in its global markets loans, and it feels good about the underwriting and the secured
positions that it has. With respect to private credit related loans, it notes its exposure has
structural insulation from those first loss positions. Private credit exposure is structurally
protected by significant first-loss buffers, with independent, continuously updated
underwriting, and borrowing-base controls that reduce exposure as credit quality deteriorates
before losses mount. We expect its NPA and NCO ratios be little changed.
Capital: The Basel III current proposal would result in modestly higher capital requirements.
However, the proposed changes to the GSIB surcharge are expected to more than offset the
Basel III endgame impact for U.S. G-SIBs. Taken together, if Basel III endgame and GSIB
frameworks are adopted as is, BAC believes it is likely to see some reduction in overall capital
requirements relative to the current regime in future periods. A management capital buffer of
~50bps above regulatory minimums is targeted long term.
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