GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Model Update
Research evidence excerpt
Model Update
Insurance: Insurtech
MediaAlpha
TD SECURITIES (USA) LLC ESTIMATE CHANGES
June 22, 2026
Price: $10.13 (06/18/2026) Model Update
Price Target: $11.00 (Prior $13.00)
HOLD (2)
ESG SCORE: 34/100
Andrew Kligerman THE TD COWEN INSIGHT
212 468 8440
We are revising our 2026E/2027E estimates, and revising our price target.
andrew.kligerman@tdsecurities.com
Daniel Bergman Revising 2026E/2027E Estimates
617 946 3747
dan.bergman@tdsecurities.com We are revising our 2026E/2027E EPS estimates to $1.01/$1.25, from $1.09/$1.34. In addition to
1Q26 results, revisions include:
Alfred Miller
212 468 8453 ■Increased revenue estimates in P&C, partly offset by decreased revenue estimates in Health,
alfred.miller@tdsecurities.com in accordance with company guidance. We now project 2026E P&C revenue of $1,290M (vs.
$1,171M prior) and 2026E Health revenue of $26M (vs. 95M prior).
Jeff Tong
212 468 8450 ■Increased proportion of revenue from open platform (on management commentary), in turn
jeff.tong@tdsecurities.com increasing cost of revenue expense. We now project 98.3% of 2026E revenue from open, vs.
Adittya Parthasarathy, CFA 97.1% prior.
212 468 8449
■Increased share repurchase estimates, given company expectations to complete the "vast
adittya.parthasarathy@tdsecurities.com
majority" of its oustanding ~$60 million of repurchases in 2026E.
Key Data
Symbol NYSE: MAX ■Modestly lowered sales and marketing expense estimates in 2026E and 2027E.
Beta: 1.16
Consensus estimates for 2026E/2027E are $1.03/$1.27.
52-Week Range: $13.71-$7.17
Market Cap: $547.6MM Revising Price Target to $11, Implying 9% Upside Potential
Net Debt (MM): $137.5
We are revising our price target to $11. Our price target is based on a 8.8x multiple on 2027E
Cash/Share: $0.72
EPS, informed by peer multiples.
Dil.
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