GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Revisions trend continues to be negative
Research evidence excerpt
Revisions trend continues to be negative
Equity Research - 23 June 2026 12:32 CEST
Reason: Preview of resultsKnowit
• IT services market is not improving, price pressure continues
• We expect delayed net recruitment recovery, adj. EBITA -3-6%
• With negative revisions trend, we stick to HOLD, TP SEK 90 (95) IT
Market is not improving quickly enough Estimate changes (%)
The Nordic IT services market remains a challenging playing field, with 2026e 2027e 2028e
excess supply putting pressure on hourly prices. This is creating increased Sales -0.6 -1.6 -1.6
focus on utilisation and resulting in continued layoffs to improve sales/ EBIT -6.0 -8.8 -7.6
employee. This is having a negative impact on sales estimates, causing EPS -6.9 -9.6 -8.1
Source: ABG Sundal Collier
a negative estimate revisions trend. The recent surge in memory prices is
also increasing spend on hardware (data storage, servers, laptops etc), KNOW-SE/KNOW SS
which combined with increased costs for AI adoption (GPT and Claude Share price (SEK) 22/6/2026 82.30
licences) lowers the financial headroom for consulting assignments. We Target price (95.00) 90.00
therefore expect muted financial developments near-term, and see few
triggers for a quick turnaround in market dynamics. For Q2, we estimate
-2% organic growth and an adj. EBITA of SEK 61m, up 12% y-o-y, for a MCap (SEKm) 2,256
margin of 4.2% (3.6%). MCap (EURm) 205
No. of shares (m) 27.4
Negative estimate revisions Free float (%) 73.8
Due to the above-mentioned market conditions and no signs of a quick Av. daily volume (k) 71
turnaround, we cut our sales and adj. EBITA estimates by 1-2% and 3-6%
in 2026e-28e, respectively.
Next event Q2 report 17 July 2026
We stay cautious; HOLD
PerformanceEven though valuation has come down recently to 7.7x 2026e EV/adj.
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