GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Lime Technologies-Picking up speed-06/16/2026
Research evidence excerpt
Lime Technologies-Picking up speed-06/16/2026
Lime Technologies
QUARTERLY PREVIEW | 16 JUN 2026
Picking up speed Target price (SEK) 260
We make minor positive estimate revisions and reiterate Buy & TP SEK Share price (SEK) 205
260 ahead of Q2, which we expect to comprise an organic growth
acceleration to 9% on easing Expert Services comps and stable ARR
development, and a return to margin expansion after two quarters of
decline. Shares have drifted lower since the Q1 print without material
news and despite software peers trading higher, which we argue
presents an attractive entry point ahead of the print. Forecast changes
% 2026e 2027e 2028e
Growth to improve further, margin expansion to return Revenues 0 0 0
We expect Lime to deliver continued growth acceleration and a return to margin EBITDA 1 0 0
expansion in Q2. We model sales of SEK 201m (+1% vs cons), +10% y/y (6% in EBIT adj 1 1 0
Q1’26) or +9% organically (8%). In Q1, mgmt. guided for utilisation within Expert EPS reported 1 1 0
Services (ES) to be at least in line with Q1 levels in Q2, which we expect to
EPS adj 1 1 0translate into an ES growth pick-up to 10%, from 3% in Q1, on a materially easier
comp (ES -8% y/y in Q2’25, -2% FY’25). Moreover, we expect recurring growth to Source: Pareto Securities
remain stable, with ARR up 10% y/y to SEK 550m on continued momentum for
Lime CRM generally and Germany specifically after the recent utility wins. We Ticker LIMET.ST, LIME SS
forecast the improved ES utilisation to drive adj EBITA margin +68bps y/y to 25%, Sector Software & Services
the first expansion after two consecutive quarters of y/y decline, for an EBITA of Shares fully diluted (m) 13.3
SEK 51m (+4% vs cons).
Market cap (SEKm) 2,725
Estimates fine-tuned Net debt (SEKm) 82
Minority interests (SEKm) 0
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