GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
This week's most read research: Equities – Europe’s top ten
Research evidence excerpt
This week's most read research: Equities – Europe’s top ten
19 June 2026
This week's most read research
Flight Deck
FCAS grounded, Options airborne
christophe.menard@db.com
Published on 15th June 2026
The effective abandonment of the FCAS Next Generation Fighter pillar marks a
material setback for European defence collaboration leaving France and Germany
facing divergent choices. France’s next step is likely to be a more nationally
controlled, Dassault-led sixth-generation pathway, using the Rafale F5 upgrade as
a technology bridge. This could produce a smaller, more affordable aircraft
architecture than the original FCAS concept, potentially improving exportability
and programme discipline, but it also raises a major funding question for Paris given
the scale of sovereign sixth-generation development. Germany, by contrast, must
decide whether to preserve industrial sovereignty through an Airbus-led European
alternative, potentially involving Saab/Sweden and Spain, or pivot toward the UK-
Italy-Japan GCAP, where Germany could bring funding and industrial scale at a time
when the UK also faces fiscal constraints. A Saab-linked option could offer
Germany a more agile, distributed and cost-conscious fighter concept, leveraging
Gripen experience while giving Airbus a systems-integration role in a more
balanced partnership.
Rathbones
Material downgrade; Cheap, but hard to see what stops it being cheap
david.mccann@db.com
Published on 17th June 2026
Following the recent unexpected "regulatory update" and associated profit
warning, we have updated our forecast and valuation assumptions. This results in
a material downgrade to our earnings estimates and target price. Rathbones as an
investment, was previously widely considered to be an emerging "self help" story
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