GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
FY26 focus: fourth straight year of record-high BP, start of stable EPS growth
Research evidence excerpt
FY26 focus: fourth straight year of record-high BP, start of stable EPS growth
15 June 2026
Figure 4. Share price already seems to reflect weakened market expectations due to
termination of clinical trials for Kyowa Kirin’s Rocatinlimab
◼Estimated impact on core OP
⚫2026 : Approx. +¥20b~+¥30b
⚫2027 : Approx. +¥30b
⚫2028 : Approx. +¥10b
⚫2029 onwards : Certain negative impact expected
◼Estimated impact on NP for the current FY
⚫In addition to the impact on core OP, closing costs arising from the
termination of the clinical trials will be recorded as “other expenses”
◼Impact on FY26 earnings forecast
⚫Currently under review; revision to the earnings forecast will be
disclosed at the time of the 1Q FY26 earnings announcement
Source: Mizuho Securities Equity Research, based on Kyowa Kirin's "Rocatinlimab Clinical Program Discontinuation"
material as of 4 March 2026
Figure 5. Medium-term market cap target of ¥3t on improved Figure 6. Targeting larger EPS boost from health science and
PER beverage businesses
Unlock long-term corporate valuation
through stronger EPS and improved PER.
Aim for market cap of ¥3t at an early stage.
Alcoholic Beverages Health Science & Pharmaceuticals
Non-Alcoholic Beverages
Strong EPS growth Improved PER EPS contribution EPS contribution EPS contribution
2028: 2028: 2028:
2026: Approx. 2026: Approx. 2026: Approx. Approx. ⚫High-single-digit % ⚫Balanced, resilient Approx. Approx.
profit portfolio EPS growth
across 20% 25% 25% 20% three core 55% 55% ⚫ROIC ≥10%
businesses
Reach Aim for 2028 EPS contribution
around ¥250 approx. 15x Kirin Brewery MiguelSan Lion BelgiumNew Other Non-Alcoholic ScienceHealth Kyowa Kirin by 2030 by growing the Health Science
and Non-Alcoholic Beverages
Businesses to a scale
comparable to other businesses
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