GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
More of the same in Q3e
Research evidence excerpt
More of the same in Q3e
Equity Research - 17 June 2026 14:43 CEST
Reason: Preview of resultsDustin
• Price increases likely offset by lower volumes
• Small estimate changes (-0-1%), few triggers for a re-rating
• We stick to HOLD, TP SEK 1.80 IT
Price increases likely dampening volumes Estimate changes (%)
Much of the talk in the global PC industry today is around the surge in 2026e 2027e 2028e
memory prices. IDC, for example, estimates that global PC shipments Sales -0.7 -0.7 -0.7
will fall 11% in 2026 due to rising prices, while revenues will grow by EBIT -5.6 -1.3 -1.2
low single digits supported by price increases. We expect to see similar EPS -8.3 -1.9 -1.5
Source: ABG Sundal Collier
impacts on Dustin, as most of its assortment is not a need-to-have for
customers, and can therefore be delayed amid hopes of a cooler pricing DUST-SE/DUST SS
environment ahead. This is likely the case for cheaper laptops. We also Share price (SEK) 16/6/2026 1.67
expect the competitive pricing environment, especially in the Netherlands, Target price 1.80
to continue, which has a negative impact on Dustin's gross margin and
hence EBITA margin. However, on an easy comp we estimate adj. EBITA
to grow by 41% y-o-y to SEK 102m for a margin of 1.9% in Q3e. This is MCap (SEKm) 2,264
relatively in line with FactSet consensus (SEK 97m) and should therefore MCap (EURm) 208
already be widely expected. No. of shares (m) 1,357.4
Free float (%) 45.5
Small estimate revisions Av. daily volume (k) 638
We make only small estimate revisions, reducing sales and adj. EBITA by
0-1% over our forecast period, while this year is affected by slightly higher
Next event Q3 report 1 July 2026non-recurring items for structural charges.
PerformanceLeverage remains elevated, and market muted: HOLD
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