GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
ADBE: Q2/26 First Glance; Mixed quarter as organic ARR guidance lowered
Research evidence excerpt
ADBE: Q2/26 First Glance; Mixed quarter as organic ARR guidance lowered
EQUITY RESEARCH QUICK TAKE
RBC Capital Markets, LLC
Matthew Swanson (Analyst)
Matthew Hedberg (Head of Global TIMT
Research)
Dan Bergstrom (Analyst)
Simran Biswal (AVP)
Michael Richards (AVP)
June 11, 2026
Adobe Inc.
Q2/26 First Glance; Mixed quarter as organic ARR guidance lowered
NASDAQ: ADBE | USD 233.38 | Outperform | Price Target USD 350.00
Sentiment: Negative
Our view:
Adobe delivered a solid quarter as AI-first ARR tripled to over $500M while raising FY/26 estimates for both total revenue and EPS.
On the executive front, the search for a CEO continues as management hopes to have the "next CEO in place to put their stamp
on planning for FY27 and beyond". Where we did see a change was CFO Dan Durn leaving Adobe effective June 15, to join Marvell
Technology as their new CFO. Total ARR was $27.1B or growth of 12.5% but included $480M from SemRush making organic ARR
growth close to 10.5%, a 40 bps deceleration q/q and 130 bps deceleration y/y. Revenue outperformed in the quarter growing
13% and 11% CC vs. 10% consensus growth including $40M in revenue contribution from SemRush. RPO and cRPO both grew
faster than revenue at 12% CC. Total ARR guidance was maintained at 10.2% which now includes $480M in ARR for SemRush off-
set by a "strategic choice" to accelerate MAU freemium growth and defer previously planned Creative Cloud line optimizations
which is a near-term term headwind to ARR growth in the 2H. We will look for more details on the moving parts in guidance on
the company's earnings call at 5 EST. The stock is currently down 5% AMC.
Q2/26 results:
Q2/26
Actuals vs. RBCe vs. Street ($M)
Actual RBCe Street Δ RBC Δ Street Prior guidance
Revenue 6,620.0 6,455.0 6,454.0 2.6% 2.6% $6430-6480M
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