Orb acquisition: Building the revenue stack for the AI economy

Research evidence excerpt

Orb acquisition: Building the revenue stack for the AI economy

Flash Note Technology | Payments, Processors & IT Services

June 11, 2026

Adyen NV Adam Frisch Connor O'Brien 212-812-2933 212-653-9009

ADYEN-NL | €803.10 Adam.Frisch@evercoreisi.com connor.obrien@evercoreisi.com

Outperform | Target Price/Base Case: €1300.00 Deniz Gasimli

Commentary 212-446-9447

Deniz.Gasimli@evercoreISI.com

• Quick take: Adyen announced the acquisition of Orb, a San Francisco-based usage-based billing platform, for $335M.

We view the deal as a welcomed second step in Adyen’s more active capital allocation posture and a strategically sensible

extension of the Talon.One acquisition: Talon.One moves Adyen further upstream into promotions / loyalty / pre-payment

decisioning, while Orb moves Adyen into usage-based monetization and billing for AI-native and high-growth software

companies. We view both positively as it expands Adyen’s capabilities in an emerging and likely eventual high-growth

areas, while also preserving sufficient “dry powder” to diversify shareholder returns via buybacks and other M&A.

• The deals look more like roadmap acceleration than a crutch for the 20%+ algorithm: It is fair to ask whether two

acquisitions in quick succession suggest Adyen needed incremental capability to sustain its medium-term 20%+ net

revenue growth framework. We do not read it that way. Management explicitly left standalone FY26 guidance unchanged

and reiterated that its previously announced long-term financial objectives remain unchanged and independent of

Talon.One and Orb. On a consolidated basis, the two acquisitions are expected to add ~1 point to 2026 net revenue

growth (so the organic growth narrative is not clouded by these deals) and dilute full-year EBITDA margin by ~1 point,