GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
UK&I Daily Focus: Thursday, 11th June 2026
Research evidence excerpt
UK&I Daily Focus: Thursday, 11th June 2026
Deutsche Bank
Research
Europe Strategy Date
11 June 2026
UK&I Daily Focus Periodical
Thursday, 11th June 2026
Jonathan Jayarajan
LEADING STORIES Associate Director Equity Research - EMEA
PENNON GROUP (PNN.L) - Now a real turnaround story: TP cut to 550p; retain Products
Buy +44-20-754-76037
James Brand: Tgt 620p to 550p. Last Close 498.80p, Buy. Pennon presented Andy Chu, FCA
2025/26 results, with a good impression from new CEO Keith Haslett. Mr Haslett Deputy Head of EMEA Equity Research
emphasised his desire to improve operational performance and his track record in +44-20-754-11360
doing this in past roles. Pennon reported EPS in line with DB and 4% ahead of the
company-compiled consensus. It also notionally met its return guidance for the
year, at a 6.7% real return at Ofwat's gearing assumption (target c.7%). However,
we feel these headline metrics mask a substantially worse performance than
expected, particularly on operational incentives (ODIs). We estimate ODIs were
£58m in penalty in nominal terms, much higher than expected, with scope for
another large penalty in 2026/27.
Figure 1: Table of Contents
XPS PENSIONS GROUP PLC (XPS.L) - Significant opportunities
Leading Stories Page 01
Steve Woolf: Tgt 485p. Last Close 309.50p, Buy. XPS’ trading update (21st April) Target Price Change Page 02
indicated FY results in line with expectations. Group revenues increased by 13% Company Updates Page 03
YoY on a reported basis including organic growth of 7%. Excluding non-recurrent Strategy / Economics Page 04
McCloud project activity in the prior year revenue growth was 18% with organic Source : Deutsche Bank
growth of 12% a fourth year of double-digit organic growth. The performance
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