GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Chatbot Meets Black Box - Ahead Of The Curve
Research evidence excerpt
Chatbot Meets Black Box - Ahead Of The Curve
Global Research INDUSTRY NOTE
June 9, 2026
■Health Care Facilities & Services Chatbot Meets Black Box - Ahead Of The Curve
TD SECURITIES (USA) LLC THE TD COWEN INSIGHT
EQUITY RESEARCH In our base and bull case, AI-driven G&A savings could boost leading health insurers' profit margins
Gary Taylor and earnings power by 80-160bps and 20-50% respectively by 2030, but the industry's regulatory and
646 562 1450 competitive structure leads us to question the long-term durability of such gains.
gary.taylor@tdsecurities.com
Ryan Langston Our Thesis: Advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) are expected to further automate portions of knowledge-based
646 562 1418 financial service & insurance industries; health insurance is no exception. In the intermediate term, we anticipate a period
ryan.langston@tdsecurities.com of at least modest productivity and profit margin gains.
TD SECURITIES (USA) LLC - WASHINGTON What Is Proprietary? We quantified the cost of insurers' various administrative functions. These costs are not disclosed
RESEARCH GROUP - USA in SEC filings and therefore are not commonly understood by public market investors. We conducted a virtual roundtable
MACRO POLICY interview with executives from two large health insurers.
Molly T. Turco Financial & Industry Model Implications: In our base and bull case, AI-driven G&A savings could boost leading health
202 868 5309 insurers' profit margins and earnings power by 80-160bps and 20-50% respectively, by 2030.
molly.turco@tdsecurities.com
What to Watch: Over the next year we expect large insurers to increase disclosures and guidance regarding AI-related
spending, expected returns, and potential EPS impact.
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