GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
THE J. M. SMUCKER COMPANY (+) : F4Q26 Prepared Remarks Notes
Research evidence excerpt
THE J. M. SMUCKER COMPANY (+) : F4Q26 Prepared Remarks Notes
EQUITIES
FOOD & HPC
THE J. M. SMUCKER COMPANY OUTPERFORMPRICE* USD101.8 TARGET PRICE USD120 (UPSIDE 18%)
FLASH NOTE
F4Q26 Prepared Remarks Notes
9 JUNE 2026 Securities Research Report Production time: 14:09* (London time)
Research Analyst & Publishing Entities
Max Gumport BNP Paribas Securities Corp (1) (+1) 917 583 4529 max.gumport@us.bnpparibas.com
BNPP View
In our view, SJM’s prepared remarks highlight that it is operating with underlying momentum, has clear earnings growth visibility for
FY27, and is set to make meaningful progress in delevering. The company’s remarks also included much in the way of forward-looking
details for FY27. Our notes are below.
Notes From Management’s Prepared Remarks
– Dollar Share: ~2/3 of its portfolio is growing or maintaining dollar share in measured retail channels
– FY26 FCF: Exceeded its FCF expectations, generating $1.2bn, which enabled it to pay down more debt than originally anticipated
– Green Coffee Prices: The company is now beginning to see moderation in the green coffee commodity, supported by positive early
indications for this year’s crop. As it has done historically, SJM will adjust pricing as its cost structure improves. It has started to lower
prices through trade investments, and in a sustained deflationary environment it has planned a list price decrease
– F4Q26 Uncrustables: Net sales for the Uncrustables brand within Frozen Handheld & Spreads accelerated sequentially, increasing +8%
YOY in the quarter — its strongest quarterly growth rate this fiscal year.
– F4Q26 Spreads: Net sales for the spreads portfolio declined in the quarter, reflecting SJM’s decision not to repeat certain promotional
activity, as well as broader category dynamics.
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