GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.: 2026 MS Financials Conference Recap – Core & Payments Acceleration in Focus
Research evidence excerpt
Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.: 2026 MS Financials Conference Recap – Core & Payments Acceleration in Focus
d with implied volatility data from the options market as of 10
Jun 2026. All figures are approximate risk-neutral probabilities of the stock reaching beyond the scenario price in either
three-months’ or one-years’ time. View explanation of Options Probabilities methodology here
BULL CASE $253.00 BASE CASE $170.00 BEAR CASE $81.00
30x Bull Case CY26E adjusted diluted EPS 23x Base Case CY27E adjusted diluted EPS 15x Bear Case CY27E adjusted diluted EPS
Outsized multiple expansion vs. legacy Premium to legacy processing peers given Multiple breaches trough levels and begins
processing peers. Assumes sustained high diversification / lack of merchant acquiring. to trend towards slow-growth processing
single-digit / low double-digit revenue Assumes mid-single-digit revenue growth peers. Assumes decelerating revenue
growth given faster than expected growth in and low- to mid-20s operating income growth and margins on the back of
Payments and Complementary specifically, margins through CY27. Our target applies a decreased outsourced technology spend and
along with TAM expansion as the technology 23x multiple to our CY27E Base Case / or a material increase in the competitive
modernization strategy results in meaningful adjusted diluted EPS, which we believe environment. Multiple is close to trough
adoption by larger regional banks. Our appropriately reflects the company's growth levels over the last 10 years, which could be
multiple represents a meaningful premium durability with relative financial warranted if growth materially decelerates
to other incumbent processing peers, which performance vs. peers. and / or recent technology investment
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