Orbia and Alpek: Face-Off: Alpek vs. Orbia

Research evidence excerpt

Orbia and Alpek: Face-Off: Alpek vs. Orbia

ilwind moderates, investors We analyze the primary structural catalysts

Catalysts: What Drives rising demand linked to EVs and data centers,

are focused on the cyclical and structural supporting each stock's long-term

Performance Beyond the and support from protectionist and antidumping

catalysts that can drive future performance. investment thesis. See Appendix A .

Conflict/Cycle? policies. Alpek's drivers are centered on

potential benefits of trade protection measures.

Self-help initiatives can help mitigate cyclical

On self help Orbia stands out for its more

Self-Help Opportunities: headwinds, making the breadth of ongoing We compare the companies' internal value-

comprehensive value-unlocking strategy (see

Who Has More to Give? strategic reviews and optimization efforts an creation initiatives.

Why the Netafim Chatter Matters ).

important differentiator.

We compare valuation, liquidity, ownership

This framework helps anchor the medium- structure, key stock drivers, and operating

and long-term investment debate while metrics, using relative multiples to anchor a

Valuation Orbia

clarifying the stocks' current position in the robust SOTP framework and derive fair

cycle. value ranges across trough, mid-cycle, and

peak-cycle conditions.

Exposure to the plastics value chain makes Orbia exhibits stronger environmental and

We benchmark the companies' ESG profiles

ESG performance and sustainability governance credentials, while Alpek is

ESG across key environmental, social, and

credentials a recurring topic in investor comparatively better positioned on social

governance indicators.

discussions for both stocks. metrics.

Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research estimates