GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Norwegian Air Shuttle - Hoping for more-06/04/2026
Research evidence excerpt
Norwegian Air Shuttle - Hoping for more-06/04/2026
Norwegian Air Shuttle
NEWSFLASH | 4 JUN 2026
Hoping for more
May capacity growth of 5% leaves NAS on track to meet its Q2 guidance. The aggressive price hikes are well known by now,
and they delivered yield growth largely in line with expectations at 5% (a 3pp negative FX impact), but the 2pp drop in load
factor (to 81.5%) against comps that were not especially demanding leaned negative in our view. We understand load
softened fairly evenly across the network, though with somewhat greater pressure on the Norwegian routes. Demand is still
described as 'good', with tickets selling out at a quick pace, wording that is, at the very least, not discouraging. Widerøe's
yield growth of 1% and load factor gain of 1.2pp came in very much in line with expectations. Q2 estimates (and expectations)
were certainly reset lower following yesterday's reaction, but we still suspect the market was hoping for a bit more, given
expectations of a soft June print (negative yield growth incoming). Worth noting too that the shares should pick up some
support from falling oil prices today.
Traf2c 2gures – Norwegian
ASK (bn) Load factor (%)
12 100 %
90 %
80 %
4 70 %
60 %
- Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
High-Low High-Low Avg. (2010-2019) 2025 2026
RPK (bn) PAX (mill)
10.0 4.0
8.0
3.0
6.0
2.0
4.0
1.0
0.0 0.0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Yield (NOK) Average ticket price (NOK)
1.6 1,600
1.4
1.2 1,200
0.8 800
0.6
0.4 400
0.2
0.0 -
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