GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Costco Wholesale Corp "The Place WareHouseholds Goto Shop" (Buy) Lasser
Research evidence excerpt
Costco Wholesale Corp "The Place WareHouseholds Goto Shop" (Buy) Lasser
ted the same day
delivery through Instacart, UberEats, and DoorDash grew more quickly than
overall digital sales. They also point to personalized product recommendation
carousels driving over ~$500mm in eComm sales.
Unit openings: COST continues to see significant white space opportunity in the
US (both fill-in and new markets) as well as overseas. For this fiscal year, it now
plans to open 26 net new stores. It plans to continue to open 30+ net new stores
going forward, with half or slightly more of these openings taking place in the US.
Technology: COST continues to see solid results from its recent tech initiatives.
These include pre-scan technology, pharmacy pay-ahead, mobile wallet
enhancements, and more. The company saw significantly improved speed of
checkout and employee productivity. On a separate note, the company is
expanding its technical suite. Personalized product recommendation carousels
drove nearly half a billion in eComm sales this quarter. It is also levereaging AI to
enhance product pages online. COST saw triple-digit growth in AI-generated
volume in 3Q. Traffic from AI search had the highest conversion rate of all traffic
coming to its site.
Capex: COST spent $1.41bn in 3Q'26 on Capex, and maintained their $6.5bn
guide for this year (~$5.5bn from last year). This reflects a higher number of club
openings, warehouse remodels, depot network expansion, and digital
investments.
How are the bulls reacting to the print?
The bulls point to another quarter of sharp execution from this retailer. This group is
unconcerned by the slight decline in core-on-core margins given the consistent increases
of late. In fact, bulls welcome the move to lower prices as it likely aided the retailer in
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