GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
nCino 1QF27 Review — Maintain Neutral Rating and PT of $16/sh
Research evidence excerpt
nCino 1QF27 Review — Maintain Neutral Rating and PT of $16/sh
J P M O R G A N North America Equity Research
27 May 2026
nCino Neutral
NCNO, NCNO US
1QF27 Review — Maintain Neutral Rating and PT of Price (27 May 26):$15.19
$16/sh Price Target (Dec-26):$16.00
Vertical SaaS & HealthTech
Ella Smith AC
(1-212) 622-2451
ella.smith@jpmchase.com
Alexei Gogolev
nCino beat its own guidance across key metrics and cited accelerating subscription (1-212) 622-9391
alexei.gogolev@jpmorgan.com
revenue growth to 12% Y/Y and a 28% non-GAAP operating margin (management
Destiny Jacksonreferenced achieving “Rule of 40”). Management commentary focused on AI
(1-212) 622-4360
adoption in regulated banking workflows, emphasizing governance/auditability destiny.jackson@jpmorgan.com
requirements and describing Banking Advisor as an early product expression of its
Isabella A Camaj
broader AI roadmap introduced at nSight. Management’s 2QF27 guidance reflects (1-212) 834-2379
a tougher mortgage compare and planned opex timing (marketing and merit). For bella.camaj@jpmorgan.com
FY27, the company raised guidance for all metrics, while maintaining a J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
conservative stance on mortgage and not embedding incremental upside from
additional intelligence-unit re-ups. All in, we tweak our model to reflect the solid
Quarterly Forecasts (FYE Jan)results, remaining Neutral rated on NCNO and maintaining our Dec 2026 PT of
$16/sh. Revenue ($ mn)
2026A 2027E 2028E
Q1 144 159A 178
• Bright Spots: Profitability and cash flow were the standout, with GAAP Q2 149 160 170
operating income improving to $21.1M (vs $(1.5)M in 1QFY26) and free cash Q3 152 162 175
flow reaching $80.8M (up 54% Y/Y); management reiterated 1Q is typically Q4 150 164 182
FY 595 645 705
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