GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
America Movil SAB de CV: Cash Flows Move Higher
Research evidence excerpt
America Movil SAB de CV: Cash Flows Move Higher
IdeaM
RiskRisk RewardReward– America- AmericaMovil SAB deMovilCV (AMX.N)SAB de CV (AMX.N)
Market Share Gains
PRICE TARGET US$30.00 OVERWEIGHT THESIS
Derived from our DCF, which includes a WACC of 11.0% and a perpetual FCF growth of 4.0% ▪Potential for market share gains as TEF
(both in peso terms). At our target, AMX would trade on ~6.0x EV/NTM EBITDA by mid- accelerates their departure from Latam ex-
2027e. Brazil
growth and robust balance sheet to US$25.16 ▪FCF
support acceleration in shareholder
Consensus Price Target Distribution US$21.80 US$32.37 remuneration. MS PT
recent rebound, improvedSource: Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley Research Mean Morgan Stanley Estimates ▪Despite
regulatory risks and more stable
competition, valuation remains below 2022-
25 average.
RISK REWARD CHART AND OPTIONS IMPLIED PROBABILITIES (12M)
Consensus Rating Distribution
USD
64% Overweight
36% Equal-weight
48 0% Underweight
US$35.00(+34.77%)US$35.00US$35.00(+34.77%)(+34.77%) ProbProbProb (>35.00)~9.0%(>35.00)~9.0%(>35.00)~9.0% MS Rating
36 Source: Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley Research
US$30.00(+15.52%)US$30.00US$30.00(+15.52%)(+15.52%)
ProbProbProb (>30.00)~26.1%(>30.00)~26.1%(>30.00)~26.1%
US$25.97US$25.97US$25.97 Risk Reward Themes 24
Pricing Power: Positive
US$22.00(-15.29%)US$22.00US$22.00(-15.29%)(-15.29%) ProbProbProb (<22.00)~25.5%(<22.00)~25.5%(<22.00)~25.5% View descriptions of Risk Rewards Themes here
MAY '25 NOV '25 MAY '26 MAY '27
Key: Historical Stock Performance Current Stock Price Price Target
Source: Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley Research, Morgan Stanley Institutional Equities Division. The probabilities of our Bull,
Base, and Bear case scenarios playing out were estimated with implied volatility data from the options market as of 27
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