GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Banco BBVA Argentina: 1Q26 Conference Call Highlights
Research evidence excerpt
Banco BBVA Argentina: 1Q26 Conference Call Highlights
imatesby Refinitiv Estimates
bank is not currently competing aggressively for funding; within deposits,
management expects local-currency deposits to grow around 10-15% in real terms
and dollar deposits by roughly 30%. Efficiency should improve, with the full-year
ratio expected to fall below 50%, likely around 48-49%.
Loan Growth. Loan growth expectations were revised as demand remains subdued,
particularly in peso-denominated lending. The first quarter was seasonally weak, and
the second quarter started slowly despite lower rates. However, management has
seen increased demand and more inquiries for peso loans in recent weeks, especially
from companies, as deposit rates moved down from roughly 30% to 20%.
Management expects each quarter to be better than the previous one, with the
recovery initially led by commercial loans, especially large and mid-sized companies.
Dollar loan demand was strong in the first four months of the year but softened
somewhat in May; management expects it to pick up again given the pipeline of
companies seeking dollar loans. Retail will take longer to normalize given asset
quality deterioration across the industry. Within retail, BBVA remains focused on
mortgages and other secured loans, where credit performance has been stronger.
Asset Quality. Management acknowledging that conditions remain challenging. The
recent improvement in provisioning was partly helped by one-offs, including better
ratings for some wholesale clients, but also reflected tighter origination standards.
Deterioration was concentrated in retail (cards and consumer loans), while
commercial credit quality remains very strong. NPL formation decelerated in March,
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