GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
NVDA: F1Q27 Review: We Struggle to Find the Negatives, Especially at ~15x CY28 P/E—Data Center Beat; Ests Higher (Again)
Research evidence excerpt
NVDA: F1Q27 Review: We Struggle to Find the Negatives, Especially at ~15x CY28 P/E—Data Center Beat; Ests Higher (Again)
iterated that it has
confidence in $1T of Blackwell / Rubin revenue from C2025 to C2027. The company sees a $200
billion standalone CPU TAM going forward; emphasizing this ahead of the Vera CPU ramp starting
in F3Q27. With this, NVIDIA noted that it now has line-of-sight to ~$20 billion of revenue visibility
this year (FY27). Total Compute revenue does not include any China H200 revenue.
• Networking revenue at $14.8 billion was +199% y/y and +18% q/q in F1Q27 vs. +263% y/y and
+34% q/q in F4Q26. NVIDIA highlighted continued strength in Spectrum X Ethernet (now larger
than all Ethernet peers; Arista competition remains key focus), while Quantum-X InfiniBand
revenue grew by more than 4x y/y driven by XDR (Quantum-X800 / 800G solutions).
Note: NVDA 10-Q Customer Disclosure. NVIDIA's 10-Q filing tonight discloses that in F1Q27 the
company had three direct customers over 10% of total revenue—at 21%, 17%, and 16% of total
revenue. This compares to two customers disclosed at ~22% and 14% of total FY26 revenue; two
customers in F1Q26 at 16% and 14%.
Additionally, we would note NVIDIA's disclosure of one indirect AI research and deployment company
contributing to a 'meaningful amount' of its revenue in F1Q27 via cloud service purchases from
NVIDIA's customers.
EDGE COMPUTING: NVIDIA's new Edge Computing segment reported F1Q27 rev at $6.369B (+29%
y/y and +10% q/q) with NVIDIA noting that revenue was driven by Blackwell workstation demand
offset by lower consumer PC demand given increased memory and systems pricing. We would
highlight that NVIDIA noted physical AI exceeded $9B in the TTM.The new segment comprises of data
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