Strategy Now Live; Yield Engine Emerging, but BTC Still Dominates

Research evidence excerpt

Strategy Now Live; Yield Engine Emerging, but BTC Still Dominates

el,

FY 2025A 2026E 2027E effectively converting BTC from a passive reserve into a cash-flow-generating asset through

(Dec) volatility monetization and hedging, with early evidence of traction in 1Q revenue contribution.

Consensus Rev That said, reported results remain overwhelmingly driven by BTC price, as demonstrated

Consensus Rev $1.8 $36.8 $51.4 by the ~$102MM mark-to-market loss in the quarter, underscoring that near-term earnings

Consensus source: FactSet visibility will continue to be dominated by underlying crypto price movements rather than

operating performance.

BTC Yield

Q1 - (45.7)%A - The company’s multi-engine model—spanning media, asset management, and treasury

Prior Q1 - - - activity—is now operational but still in early scaling mode. 1Q results reflect only partial-period

contributions and understating potential run-rate revenue. Within asset management, UTXO’sQ2 - (2.5)% -

launch of a structured digital credit fund highlights expansion into fee-based institutional

Prior Q2 - - -

products, but remains immaterial to near-term earnings or valuation.

Q3 - (1.2)% -

Prior Q3 - - - Meanwhile, the discontinuation of the real-time treasury dashboard reflects increasing

Q4 - 8.0% - operational and derivatives complexity, reinforcing a shift toward active capital allocation

Prior Q4 - 8.1% - while modestly reducing real-time transparency versus peers. Finally, capital structure remains

Year NA (41.9)% 23.1% central to the equity story: the planned 1-for-40 reverse split—intended to regain compliance

with Nasdaq’s minimum bid requirement—primarily reflects a listing-related step, while also

BTC $ Gain underscoring the importance of maintaining adequate share price levels to preserve market

access.