GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Indonesia Strategy
Research evidence excerpt
Indonesia Strategy
le to select stocks in Asia/Australia/NZ
12-month target – Expected share price *equivalent fully paid ordinary weighted average number of
in 12 months Note: expected return is reflective of a Medium Volatility shares
Valuation – The company's estimated stock and should be assumed to adjust proportionately
All Reported numbers for Australian/NZ listed stocks are fair value share price based on the disclosed with volatility risk
modelled under IFRS (International Financial Reporting valuation methodology
Standards). Note: Quant recommendations may differ
from Fundamental Analyst recommendations
Recommendation proportions for quarter ending 31 Mar 2026
AU/NZ Asia USA
Outperform 66.90% 69.32% 67.14% (for global coverage by Macquarie, 1.93% of stocks followed are investment banking clients)
Neutral 27.18% 17.21% 32.86% (for global coverage by Macquarie, 0.40% of stocks followed are investment banking clients)
Underperform 5.92% 13.47% 0.00% (for global coverage by Macquarie, 0.00% of stocks followed are investment banking clients)
Company-Specific Disclosures
Company Name Disclosure
Astra International (ASII IJ) None
Outperform
12-month target:IDR6,625 - Sum of
Parts
Valuation: IDR 5,300-7,300 - Sum of
Price:IDR6,025
Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) None
12-month target:IDR7,000 - Price to
Book
Valuation: IDR 9,068 - DCF (WACC
12.8%, beta 1.0, ERP 6.0%, RFR 7.0%,
TGR 7.0%)
Price:IDR5,950
Telkom Indonesia None
(Persero) (TLKM IJ)
12-month target:IDR3,200.00 - DDM
Valuation: IDR 3,500 - DCF (WACC
10.1%, beta 0.9, ERP 5.5%, RFR 7.0%)
Price:IDR3,130
Target Price Risk Disclosures
Company Name Risk Disclosure
Lower-than-expected 4W/2W sales. Astra International (ASII IJ) •
Lower-than-expected commodity prices. •
Lower-than-expected margins. •
20 May 2026 2
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