GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Initiation: Poised for take-off
Research evidence excerpt
Initiation: Poised for take-off
Macquarie Equity Research Swire Properties
Earnings turnaround led by residential property sales in FY26
Swire recorded 4x higher HK
residential sales in 2025, of We expect Swire Properties (Swire) will be able to deliver a stellar FY26, marking a turnaround
which we expect the bulk to in recurring underlying profit which declined over the past 2 years to a low of HK$6.3bn
be recognised in FY26. in FY25. Given the strong recovery in Hong Kong's residential market recently, we believe
Swire's FY26 earnings recovery will be led by the recognition of residential sales uponSteady growth in China
completion.residential sales will drive
medium-term earnings In 2025, Swire Properties recorded 334 units sold in Hong Kong for a value of HK$8mn,
growth, in our view. representing a four-year record. The bulk of the sales were from La Montagne and The
Headland Residences. The bulk of the La Montagne sales were recorded in 2025 upon
handover while the sales from The Headland Residences will be recognised from 2026
onwards.
Aside from HK residential sales, Swire's China residential sales continue to record steady
growth, booking 19% YoY growth in FY25. On 12 June 2026, Swire Properties announced
that, in the final batch of sales at Lujiazui Taikoo Yuan Residences (its latest China residential
project), it sold 48 out of 72 units on the first day. The last batch has achieved an average
price of Rmb191,800 psqm (+11% vs 2025 average price), the highest among Shanghai's new
residential developments launched this year.
Figure 3 - HK residential sales Figure 4 - CN residential sales
CN residential
HK residential CN residential
sales (units) HK residential sales (sqm) sales value
sales value (RMB'mn /
(HKD'mn) HKD'mn)
400 9.0 90 12,215 14,000 334
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