GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Macquarie ANZ Essentials - May 19 2026
Research evidence excerpt
Macquarie ANZ Essentials - May 19 2026
Macquarie Equity Research – Essentials
19 May 2026
ANZ Essentials
Brambles (Neutral) 3
Returned to sender Peter Steyn
• Brambles downgraded FY26 EBIT growth expectations from 8-10% to 3-5% as a result of
operating disruption that is not recoverable in the near term.
• A large exposure to outsourced pallets repair operators has exposed BXB to disruption and cost
impacts - US$60m in FY26, expecting 1HFY27 resolution.
• Neutral. The stock has sold off heavily, but resolution visibility will likely continue to weigh.
ALS (Outperform) 4
Pretty good growth in this market John Purtell
• FY underlying NPAT of $381m, 2.6% above our $372m. MSD to HSD rev guidance below our
prior fct whilst margin guide slightly ahead.
• There is some understandable conservatism re FY27 revenue guide, and a template for such last
year, with Commods rev lifted during the year.
• The juniors have now co-joined the majors recovery. LS organic growth should accelerate in
FY27, coupled with internal improvements re LatAm/York.
New Hope (Outperform) 5
Tuning up Rob Stein
• ROM production in line (+1%), but saleable production (+11%) and coal sales (+19%) beat due to
higher-than-expected product de-stocking.
• FY26G on track; ROM tracking to the mid, while saleable production/sales are higher; unit costs
remain on track with higher 4Qe costs expected.
• +8% EPS Δ in FY26 driven by +3% Δ in saleable coal. Our A$7.0/sh target price remains
unchanged, with NHC our preferred thermal exposure.
Ora Banda Mining (Outperform) 6
Straight down the fairway Adam Baker
• Positive FID for new 3Mtpa Davyhurst processing facility and Waihi UG alongside the release of
the new 3-year outlook "Drive to 300".
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