GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Fujitsu: Risk Reward Update
Research evidence excerpt
Fujitsu: Risk Reward Update
UpdateM
RiskRisk RewardReward– Fujitsu- (6702.T)Fujitsu (6702.T)
Industry-leading IT solution delivery capability
PRICE TARGET ¥4,000 OVERWEIGHT THESIS
For the IT services industry, we use EV/EBITDA. This approach allows us to reflect the level ▪Industry-leading IT solution delivery
of net debt on the balance sheet in our equity value assessment. For Fujitsu, we apply top capability
quartile of industry target multiples, based on the rationale that the company has industry- ▪Growth potential of UVANCE
leading IT solution delivery capability, its growth potential of UVANCE, and problem solving ▪Problem solving capability in
capability in modernization area. Our price target EV/EBITDA multiple is 12x. modernization area
¥4,704
Consensus Price Target Distribution ¥3,960.00 ¥6,000.00 Consensus Rating Distribution
MS PT
Source: Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley Research Mean Morgan Stanley Estimates 76% Overweight
24% Equal-weight
0% Underweight
RISK REWARD CHART MS Rating
Source: Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley Research
JPY ¥5,500¥5,500(+70.23%)¥5,500(+70.23%)(+70.23%)
Risk Reward Themes
4800 Secular Growth: Positive
Self-help: Positive
¥4,000¥4,000(+23.80%)¥4,000(+23.80%)(+23.80%) View descriptions of Risk Rewards Themes here
¥3,231¥3,231¥3,231
¥2,500¥2,500(-22.62%)¥2,500(-22.62%)(-22.62%)
MAY '25 NOV '25 MAY '26 MAY '27
Key: Historical Stock Performance Current Stock Price Price Target
BULL CASE ¥5,500 BASE CASE ¥4,000 BEAR CASE ¥2,500
Implied EV/EBITDA (2 yr fwd): 17x EV/EBITDA (2 yr fwd): 12x Implied EV/EBITDA (2 yr fwd): 8x
Bull case assumes steady growth in For the IT services industry, we use Bear case assumes weaker revenues and
revenues and adjusted OP margin from EV/EBITDA. This approach allows us to adjusted OP margin from Regions (Japan)
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