GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Model Update; Reiterate OW but Lowering Price Target
Research evidence excerpt
Model Update; Reiterate OW but Lowering Price Target
REITs
BXP, Inc. (BXP)
EQUITY RESEARCH Company Update
May 14, 2026
Model Update; Reiterate OW but Lowering Price Price: $58.96
Price Target: $70.00 (From $79.00) Target
Rating: Overweight
SUMMARY: We reiterate our Overweight rating on BXP but lower our
Key Statistics: price target to $70 from $79 as our flight-to-quality thesis takes longer
Symbol NYSE: BXP than expected to gain traction. Our new price target assumes a turn 52-Week Range 49.72 - 79.33
lower multiple, from 16x to 15x our 2026E AFFO estimate. The change Dividend Yield 0.0%
Debt/EBITDA 8.5x agent underway is palpable demand from new Artificial Intelligence (AI)
NAV/Share $85.65 companies, taking meaningful space in both San Francisco and New York
Market Cap 9,288.9 -- resembling the tech leasing boom (circa 2010). However, elevated initial
ADV (3 mo) 2,527,553 capex is delaying the bottom line impact, which is expected to subside
EV ($M) 24,636 (a function of early renewal activity, which is a good thing). Meanwhile,
positive Life Science signals are emerging in Boston/Cambridge, where BXP Research Analysts: is not likely to be a seller (as they have been in the Bay Area). Finally, Richard Anderson
929-441-6927 343 Madison is likely to end up with multiple joint venture partners with
Richard.Anderson@cantor.com clarity coming through later in 2026. Bottom line: The path to continued
Jay Kornreich occupancy gains to 91% (+400bps from the two-year starting point) remains
718-865-3439 on track, with the leasing pipeline well-exceeding lease expirations. A Jay.Kornreich@cantor.com
snapshot of our revised earnings model is provided in Exhibit 2. Jeffrey Carr
929-709-0434
Jeffrey.Carr@cantor.com
FFO
FYE Dec 2025E 2026E 2027E
1Q 1.64A 1.59 1.69
Prev - 1.57 1.73
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