GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Tele2 Recent pullback provides attractive entry point. New CEO likely to provide continuity. Remain OW
Research evidence excerpt
Tele2 Recent pullback provides attractive entry point. New CEO likely to provide continuity. Remain OW
J P M O R G A N Europe Equity Research
18 May 2026
Tele2 Overweight
TEL2b.ST, TEL2B SS
Recent pullback provides attractive entry point. New Price (15 May 26):Skr184.00
CEO likely to provide continuity. Remain OW ▼Price Target (Dec-27):Skr212.00 Prior (Dec-27):Skr214.00
Tele2's 4% pullback over the last month (sector: +6%) following some profit taking
and a change in CEO creates an attractive entry point into a stock delivering European Telecommunication
Servicesaccelerating dividend growth and upside to existing consensus estimates. 2026e
EBITDAaL growth of +7.1% y/y is ahead of LSD-MSD guidance and consensus Ajay Soni AC
at +5.7%. 2026e dividend growth of ~20% y/y to SEK 12.5/share is 14% above (44-20) 3493-8462
ajay.soni@jpmorgan.com
consensus, underpinned by leverage at 1.7x versus a 2.6-2.7x investment grade J.P. Morgan Securities plc
ceiling. Additionally, we expect strategic continuity under new CEO Nicholas
Akhil Dattani
Högberg. Tele2 is +18% YTD (sector: +25%), despite delivering solid Q1 numbers (44-20) 7134-4725
(here). Upcoming catalysts include potential guidance upgrades through 2026 and akhil.dattani@jpmorgan.com
further dividend upside as lower leverage post the Baltic TowerCo transaction J.P. Morgan Securities plc
allows for >100% EFCF payout. We remain Overweight with a PT of SEK 212 Ankur Baheti, CFA
(previously SEK 214). On 2027e, Tele2 trades on 18x PE and 7% EFCF yield. (91-86) 5796-8820
Within our base case, Tele2 trades on 2027e TSR yield of 8% (upside scenario: 9%) ankur.baheti@jpmchase.com
and 2030e TSR yield of 12% (upside scenario: 14%). J.P. Morgan India Private Limited
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