GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Walmart Inc: 1Q preview: Times like this is why you own the stock
Research evidence excerpt
Walmart Inc: 1Q preview: Times like this is why you own the stock
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Walmart Inc
1Q preview: Times like this is why you own
the stock
Maintain Rating: BUY | PO: 150.00 USD | Price: 131.47 USD
1Q results should be solid; value proposition will shine 15 May 2026
We maintain our Buy rating and $150 PO; we think sales growth consistency will get Equity
rewarded and an acceleration in digital profit margins will lead to further EPS revisions
over the next 12 months. We are forecasting 1Q EPS of $0.65; our forecast includes
Key ChangesWalmart US comps of 4.5% (we think investor expectations based on our conversations
range between 4-4.5%). We expect the core Walmart consumer will prove resilient and (US$) Previous Current
think a prolonged period of macro volatility and higher gas prices can accelerate share 2027E Rev (m) 752,559.6 752,296.5
gains as consumers hunt for value. 2028E Rev (m) 793,533.5 792,515.8
2029E Rev (m) 837,094.2 836,043.1
2029E EPS 3.54 3.53Outlook: poised to outperform, but conservatism likely
Given the ongoing War and elevated gas prices we expect management will maintain a
cautiously optimistic posture when discussing the outlook for the remainder of the year. Christopher Nardone
Research Analyst
Management has a track record of guiding conservatively to start the year (see Exhibit 1 BofAS
which shows WMT maintained its original FY EPS guidance in two of the last three years +1 646 743 2016 christopher.nardone@bofa.com
post 1Q results). If WMT delivers upside to our $0.65 est (guide $0.63-0.65), we don’t Madeline Cech
see why this time would be different and expect guidance will remain unchanged. Research Analyst
BofAS
Membership messaging should be encouraging +1madeline.cech@bofa.com646 855 5219
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