GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Discontinuing Coverage
Research evidence excerpt
Discontinuing Coverage
TD Cowen Sun Country Airlines Holdings
Global Research May 14, 2026
VALUATION METHODOLOGY AND RISKS
Valuation Methodology
Airlines:
We generally use a combination of Enterprise Value to EBITDAR and P/Es to value the group.
We make investment recommendations on certain early stage, pre-revenue companies based
upon an assessment of their business model, technology, probability of market success,
and the potential market opportunity, balanced by an assessment of applicable risks. Such
companies may not be assigned a price target.
Investment Risks
Primary Airline Investment Risks:
■ Economic and Geopolitical Risk. Airlines are affected by worldwide economies, especially if
they have international operations.
■ Fuel Risk. Fuel represents ~30% of expenses and the companies have limited visibility into
price changes.
■ Liquidity. Airlines are capital intensive and there are times when the markets are capital
constrained, which affects their ability to finance aircraft purchases.
■ Credit card processing fees. Credit card companies often require airlines to maintain capital
reserves related to future air travel.
■ Seasonality. The airlines generally use cash in 1Q and 4Q and generate cash in 2Q and 3Q.
■ Fare Risk. Fares may not rise as fast as expenses putting pressure on margins.
■ Government Regulation. The industry is highly regulated and taxed.
■ Terrorist Attacks and the outbreak of diseases. The unpredictability of terrorist attacks and
disease outbreaks gives the airlines little margin of error.
■ Labor Risk Some airlines are having issues attracting qualified pilots and mechanics which
could limit their growth.
■ Insurance Costs. Hull insurance varies from year to year, but is generally affected by the
number of accidents in the previous year.
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