SPGI: Attractive Growth Opportunity Underpinned by Powerful Network Effects and Proprietary Data

Research evidence excerpt

SPGI: Attractive Growth Opportunity Underpinned by Powerful Network Effects and Proprietary Data

pansion across an increasing number of AI startups

resilient against any incremental the business from GenAI-related challenging different products in SPGI's

competition from AI efficiencies and enhancements portfolio

• We see potential for SPGI to benefit • With stronger earnings growth, we see • An increase in market uncertainty,

from its previous Kensho acquisition potential for multiple expansion to 28x, increasing credit spreads and slowing

and drive greater revenue and margin resulting in an upside price scenario of business decision-making and credit

expansion from AI $610 issuance

• We also expect SPGI to capitalize on • In this scenario, we assume multiple

ramping debt maturities, currently compression further below SPGI's 5yr

peaking in 2028, as a leading credit avg relative valuation down to 16x,

rating agency suggesting a $340 downside scenario

Upcoming Catalysts Company Description

• Better-than-expected revenue synergy realization S&P Global provides credit ratings, benchmarks, analytics,

• AI-related revenue and margin benefits and workflow solutions to the global capital, commodity, and

• Ongoing portfolio moves/rationalization automotive markets. S&P’s products and services are deeply

• New issuance trends embedded in clients’ business processes. Operations consist of

• Trends in credit spreads five segments: Ratings, Commodity Insights, Indices, Market

• Fed rate cutting cycle Intelligence, and Mobility. S&P Global has a portfolio of iconic

brands in finance and business, including: S&P Global Ratings, S&P

Capital IQ Pro, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Platts, and CARFAX.

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