GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Technoprobe: Acing the test… again
Research evidence excerpt
Technoprobe: Acing the test… again
Deutsche Bank
Research
Rating Company Date
Buy Technoprobe 15 May 2026
Forecast Change
Europe
Italy
Reuters Bloomberg Exchange Ticker Price at 13 May 2026 (EUR) 18.99
TPRO.MI TPRO IM MIL TPRO
Price Target (EUR) 35.00
Technology
52-week range (EUR) 20.00 - 6.20
IT Hardware
Acing the test… again
Valuation & Risks
George Brown
Strong Q2 guide, with CMD targets brought forward (again) & revised upwards Research Associate
Following a strong Q1 (sales +32% yoy CC), Technoprobe provided an even stronger +44-20-754-74893
outlook for Q2, with sales guided at €266m (+34% beat) & EBITDA margins of 45%
Robert Sanders
(+930bps vs cons), implying €120m of EBITDA (+70% beat). With AI demand Research Analyst
strengthening, and capacity coming online faster than planned, Technoprobe has +44-20-754-58394
not only brought forward their CMD targets (again) by a full year, but has revised
Melissa Weathers
them upwards significantly. Now the company targets 2026E sales of between
Research Analyst
€950-1,050m (+32% beat) with EBITDA margins between 44-46% (+860bps beat),
+1-212-250-2134
putting implied 2026 EBITDA at an impressive €450m (+63% beat). This compares
to the original CMD targets (introduced in Apr-25, read here) for 2028E sales
Key changes
between €850-900m & EBITDA margins of 38-40% (which were brought forward to
TP 19.50 to 35.00 ↑ 79.5%
2027 in Nov-25, read here). The new 2026 guide then implies sales growth of +60%
Source: Deutsche Bank
yoy, which compares to prior messaging of just 'mid-teens' growth back only in
Mar-26 (read here). Here, management suggests the step-up is more of a function Price/price relative
of accelerated capacity additions, rather than an unexpected influx of new orders 30
since Mar-26, a massive change in messaging.
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