GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Post Q1 Update and CEO Roadshow
Research evidence excerpt
Post Q1 Update and CEO Roadshow
ely tracking adoption. PREV 2.45
US channel checks supportive. US distributors are pointing to a similar slower start to the
year that can easily be made up in larger quarters coming, however. Strength in data centers,
Exhibit 1 - Seeing acceleration YTD in US PPIutility and industrial segments, offset by weakness in residential and parts of commercial for electrical equipment, components and
construction. Data centers continue to be the main driver of growth, with visibility extending, cables that should benefit distributors along
seeing large orders being 2-3x historical average order size and further benefits from the trends with copper prices at record highs (YoY %
change)
to behind the meter solutions. Labour remains the key challenge to meet data center demand. 16 50
14 40No impact from Middle East conflict seen so far except higher cost of shipping, some risk
30into H2 if oil prices stay elevated. Distributors point to "numbness" to price increases from 1210
customers, positive given continued inflationary pressures. 86 2010
Raising estimates on pricing, PT to €43.70 - Buy. We raise adj. EPS estimates ~1% and sit 20 0-10
~2-3% ahead of VA cons for 2026-2028e. We broadly maintain organic growth for the period
but see a mix shift with more price vs. volume that should positively impact margins, driven . Average US PPI Electrical categories Copper price (RHS)
by stronger OEM pricing and inflationary pressures from the Middle East. This comes on top Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bloomberg
of the copper price upside already seen, as the metal is reaching new highs this week ($13.5k
spot vs. $11k in guidance). While some risks to volume remain into H2, we see an overall net
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