GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Upward Revision to Profit Guidance
Research evidence excerpt
Upward Revision to Profit Guidance
Japan | Capital Goods
THK EquityMayResearch11, 2026
FLASH NOTEUpward Revision to Profit Guidance
1Q26 OP beat the consensus estimate. Mgmt raised its 1H26 and full-year RATING HOLD
OP target to reflect strong incoming orders from the semiconductor and PRICE ¥6,487^
machine tool industry. The magnitude of the upward revision should trigger PRICE TARGET | % TO PT ¥4,200 | -35%
positive market reaction. It claims that its new sales and OP forecasts 52W HIGH-LOW ¥6,487 - ¥3,395
for 2-4Q26 could still be conservative, assuming current order momentum FLOAT (%) | ADV MM (USD) 91.2% | 38.78
continues in the coming quarters. MARKET CAP ¥726.7B | $4.6B
TICKER 6481 JP
1Q26 OP beat the consensus estimates: THK's 1Q26 IFRS-based OP was ¥7.6bn, beating ^Prior trading day's closing price unless otherwise noted.
the consensus estimate of ¥5.2bn. We believe such beat should have come mostly from
better sales volume gains of linear motion guide and actuator products than the market
expectations. Mgmt indicated that besides sales volume growth, it enjoyed profit contribution
from increasing production utilization and the JPY depreciation. Note that THK booked one-off
cost of ¥740mn related to the early retirement program in Japan. THK's 1Q26 OP also included
cost burden of roughly ¥500mn from fixed asset tax. This implies that 1Q26 OP based on THK's
regular operation could have been higher than the reported figure.
Surging orders in 1Q26: The aggregate orders at THK's Japan headquarter and major
overseas subsidiaries in 1Q26 were +62% YoY/+42% QoQ at roughly ¥87bn. Mgmt indicated
that such order growth was mostly driven by the semiconductor industry. Domestic orders
were +51% YoY/+25% QoQ at ¥29.8bn, of which ¥6.7bn (+67%/+24%) from the electronics
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