GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
RECORDATI (+) : Clean Q1: Isturisa on-track, P&L beat, positive pipeline updates - guidance maintained
Research evidence excerpt
RECORDATI (+) : Clean Q1: Isturisa on-track, P&L beat, positive pipeline updates - guidance maintained
EQUITIES
PHARMACEUTICALS
RECORDATI OUTPERFORMPRICE* EUR49.9 TARGET PRICE EUR56 (UPSIDE 12%)
FLASH NOTE
Clean Q1: Isturisa on-track, P&L beat, positive pipeline updates - guidance
maintained
12 MAY 2026 Securities Research Report Production time: 18:23* (London time)
Research Analyst & Publishing Entities
Kirsty Ross-Stewart BNP Paribas London Branch (+44) 203 430 8452 kirsty.ross-stewart@uk.bnpparibas.com
What happened?
Though divisional and group sales were pre-announced earlier in the month, 1Q26 earnings announced this afternoon
include Isturisa sales of €86m (+56% growth) coming in in-line with our street-high expectations – we expect fuelled by
growth in the Endogenous Cushing’s population. On the P&L, Adjusted EBIT of €231m driven by sales beat and COGS,
EBITDA of €284m and Net Profit of €188m came in +9/6/7% vs consensus respectively. FY26 guidance has been
reiterated. Overall, we see this as a solid and clean update with key growth driver Isturisa very much on track, positive
pipeline updates and a solid P&L beat.
BNPP View:
Standing out to us is the positive update on the Signifior Ph II program in PBH; topline data will not be shared until a
medical conference later in the year, but we expect the company will provide a high-level update on the trial and
timelines for progression to Ph III on the call tomorrow. We currently forecast €60m PYS for Signifor in PBH with a 20%
PoS and believe the ultimate market opportunity in this setting is likely to be larger than the company’s current €150m
PYS guidance given the high rates of post-prandial hypoglycaemia seen in patients who have undergone bariatric
surgery.
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