GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Prognosis Unclear
Research evidence excerpt
Prognosis Unclear
May 12, 2026
VALUATION METHODOLOGY
We assign 14X 2027E EBITDA of $441MM to reach our price target of $24.
RISKS
1) HIMS operates in a highly competitive and fragmented telehealth landscape characterized by low switching costs and aggressive
customer acquisition behavior. Competition from both digital-native peers and large incumbents, including Amazon, could pressure
pricing and marketing efficiency over time. Competitive moats around HIMS’ business are not deep. 2) Regulatory risk remains
the most significant uncertainty, particularly related to the use of compounded medications. Increased enforcement or changes in
FDA guidance could limit product availability or force transitions to lower-margin branded offerings. 3) While diversification is
improving, revenue concentration in weight loss and other high-profile categories exposes HIMS to shifts in consumer sentiment,
reimbursement dynamics, clinical trends, or adverse publicity, which could result in growth volatility. 4) HIMS is in the midst of an
investment cycle, with creates uncertainty over future Marketing leverage.
COMPANIES UNDER COVERAGE BY AUTHOR
Price Evercore ISI
Symbol Company Rating (2026-12-05) Target
ABNB Airbnb, Inc. Outperform $137.05 $155.00
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. Outperform $268.99 $315.00
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. Outperform $157.80 $245.00
CHWY Chewy, Inc. Outperform $22.49 $40.00
CHYM Chime Financial, Inc. Outperform $18.23 $35.00
DASH DoorDash, Inc Outperform $157.33 $300.00
DUOL Duolingo, Inc. In Line $105.15 $97.00
EBAY eBay Inc. In Line $108.13 $96.00
EXPE Expedia Group Outperform $221.46 $350.00
GOOGL Alphabet, Inc. Outperform $388.64 $420.00
GRAB Grab Holdings, Inc. Outperform $3.65 $8.00
HIMS Hims & Hers Health, Inc. In Line $29.14 $24.00
IBTA Ibotta, Inc.
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