GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
CANCOM SE: Q1/26 review - Record quarterly gross margin
Research evidence excerpt
CANCOM SE: Q1/26 review - Record quarterly gross margin
Deutsche Bank
Research
Rating Company Date
Buy CANCOM SE 13 May 2026
Europe Reuters Bloomberg Rating Buy
Germany COKG.DE COK GR Price target (EUR) 34.00 Price at 12 May 26 25.60
52-week range 30.55 – 20.90
Technology
IT Software & Services Valuation & Risks
Q1/26 review - Record quarterly gross margin
Lars Vom-Cleff
Germany performance offsetting the decline of the International business Research Analyst
+49-69-910-13526 Q1/26 revenue were down 1% yoy but gross profit was up 3% yoy and with a gross
margin of 42.9% (+169bps yoy), CANCOM reached a new record for a quarter.
EBITDA rose 28% yoy, while EBITA even increased 69% yoy. Growth was driven
by CANCOM’s home market Germany (sales +6% / EBITDA +74% / EBITDA
margin 5.8%, +240bps (all yoy)), while the International business was weaker
(sales -1% / EBITDA -5% / EBITDA margin 8.2%, +60bps (all yoy)). Nevertheless,
the International business unit improved its EBITDA margin by 60bps yoy to 8.2%.
Despite increasing costs for infrastructure and storage components, customer
demand held steady in Q1/26 and according to CANCOM, the strong order book
indicates that this trend will continue past the quarter. Operating cash flow
reached EUR -60m (Q1/25: EUR 3m), due to higher NWC rising in line with
customer demand.
FY26E EBITDA could increase by >20% yoy
CANCOM continuous to envisage FY26E revenue/EBITDA/EBITA to increase
5%/17%/35% at the midpoint. We expect customer demand for infrastructure
solutions, digitalization, AI transformation, and data sovereignty to positively
influence the 2026 financial year. However, this will most likely be juxtaposed with
anticipated significant price increases and uncertainties surrounding the
availability of IT components.
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