GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Few triggers for a re-rating
Research evidence excerpt
Few triggers for a re-rating
Equity Research - 15 May 2026 11:43 CEST
Reason: Post-results commentTruecaller
• Ads and TfB remain under pressure
• 2026e EBIT -9%, 2027e-28e +9-10% on cost programme
• We stay cautious: HOLD, TP SEK 17 (14) IT
Weak growth in Q1 as expected, cost programme ahead Estimate changes (%)
Q1 was the first quarter with visible effects from the CNAP launch in India, 2026e 2027e 2028e
particularly impacting business revenues, which declined 8% organically Sales -2.4 -2.9 -3.2
in Q1. The Tanla effect is likely to take a few quarters to regain with new EBIT -8.8 10.2 8.7
partners, while the verified business impact from the cheaper CNAP EPS -10.4 9.6 8.8
Source: ABG Sundal Collier
solution is more uncertain in terms of when it may recover. We estimate
negative organic growth in Q2 as well, before seeing small positive growth TRUE.B-SE/TRUE.B SS
in H2'26e on easier comps and fading impacts from the two mentioned Share price (SEK) 13/5/2026 13.91
headwinds. The Iran situation likely impacted Truecaller's MEA region Target price (14.00) 17.00
at the end of Q1, and we estimate the negative organic growth (est.) to
remain in Q2 as well. The cost programme looks meaningful, in our view,
impacting around 70 employees (20% of employees). All in all, we see few MCap (SEKm) 4,850
triggers near-term for a quick organic growth recovery and a re-valuation MCap (EURm) 444
of the share. No. of shares (m) 302.0
Free float (%) 78.4
Estimates up in 2027e-28e on cost programme
Although we reduce our 2026e EBIT by 9% as a result of continued
Next event Q2 report 17 July 2026growth headwinds, FX and non-recurring items for the announced cost
programme, we raise 2027e-28e EBIT as the cost programme yields
Performanceresults.
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