GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Asset Managers: April'26 AUM Flash: VRTS, TROW, WT
Research evidence excerpt
Asset Managers: April'26 AUM Flash: VRTS, TROW, WT
UpdateMValuation Methodology and Risks
T. Rowe Price Group Inc. (TROW.O)
Derived from 11.0x P/E multiple on 2027e EPS, a discount to 5-year historical of 13.4x given
soft fund performance and a challenging flow trajectory. Backed by a 2027 target 6.1x EV/
EBITDA multiple.
Risks to Upside
n Passive penetration slows, enabling active funds to grow
n Investments in distribution & new products (incl. active ETFs) support growth
n Successful integration of Oak Hill which expands higher-fee channels and distribution
opportunities
Risks to Downside
n Increased competition and pricing pressure
n Costs/challenge to build out new capabilities
n Challenging investment performance & macro weigh on organic growth
Virtus Investment Partners Inc (VRTS.N)
Based on 4.7x target P/E multiple on 2027e Adjusted EPS estimates (implies 4.3x EV/EBITDA
multiple on 2027e EBITDA) given weak flow trends and fund performance. While stock is at
a discount vs. peers, we think flows and perf trends are likely to keep the stock from re-rating.
n Fund performance improves
n Flows improve
n Positive fee rate mix shift
n Strategic activity in consolidating industry
n Outflows in key funds accelerate driven by poor performance, client de-risking and
industry flow shift to passive
n Fee rate compression worse than expected with negative mix shift
n Opt. margin contraction
n Uncertain macro backdrop weighs on client risk appetite/demand & strategic activity
WisdomTree Investments, Inc. (WT.N)
Based on 15.1x 2027e EPS, a premium to the AM peer group for structural tailwinds and scar-
city of value as only publicly traded ETF manager. Expansion of multiple is predicated on
strong and differentiated flow momentum.
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